Brexit Scenarios for June 24

Scenario 1: The UK Votes to Stay in the EU If UK voters decide to remain in the EU, the deal forged by Prime Minister David Cameron will take effect quickly. But if most Conservative voters back the losing Brexit side, which seems probable, Cameron is hardly likely to be viewed as a savior inside his party. The long-festering political problem of "Europe" among Conservatives will thus not go away. In Quebec in the 1990s, the secessionist cause faded away after the public narrowly rejected it, bu

Source: Peterson Institute (PIIE)